Canada needs a big win over Kazakhstan and some help from other teams Friday if it hopes to make the semifinals of the Women's Rugby World Cup in Edmonton.
The Canadian women (1-1-0) are currently tied with Australia and the U.S. (also 1-1-0) with five points. New Zealand, France and Scotland (all 2-0-0) have 10 points while England (2-0-0) has nine.
Bonus points will probably decide who makes the final four. And Canada needs a maximum five points against the Kazakhs (0-2-0), with four for a win and a bonus point for scoring four or more tries.
A bonus point is also awarded to teams that lose a match by seven points or less.
Canada thumped Spain 79-0 on Monday but may still rue its poor opening 66-7 loss to New Zealand. Point difference is the first tiebreaker if teams finish even on points.
In other matches of consequence Friday, two-time defending champion New Zealand faces Scotland, England tackles France and Australia plays the U.S.
In all there are seven teams with a chance to make the semifinals.
``There's no other way for us to get in other than a bonus point win,'' Canadian coach Neil Langevin said Thursday.
Even then, the fourth-seeded Canadians will need help if they are to make third or fourth.
They are looking for New Zealand to beat Scotland, which would then be left with 10 points and a poor points differential. The Scots enter the game with a plus-39 differential, which could wilt before a Black Ferns team that is averaging 58 points a game.
England could find itself out of the semifinal mix if it loses to France and does not score a bonus point in the process.
And the way Langevin sees it, if the U.S. beat Australia, Canada vaults into third.
Of course, that's assuming Canada walks away from Kazakhstan with five points and a beefed-up points differential. The Canadians are currently plus-20.
Langevin plans one change to his lineup with Dawn MacDonald returning at lock at the expense of Megan Gibbs.
The coach say the tournament has seen the worst and best of the Canadian women.
``We played very poorly against New Zealand,'' Langevin said. ``We don't think that score was indicative of our play. We do think the style of play and score against Spain is a much more clear indication of the style of rugby that we can play.''
While Kazakhstan is winless, its losses were not blowouts: 32-17 to Scotland and 20-5 to Samoa.
The Kazakhs are primarily drawn from the military and spend a lot of time together, according to Langevin.
``While they might not have the superior athletes, they are quite well-drilled in what they want to do rugby-wise,'' he said.
``Their defence is quite good. They're quite structured.''
© The Canadian Press, 2007